Mike's Forex Trading Soapbox

Category — Technical Analysis

AUDUSD ANALYSES Potential Turns Videos 14062010

2 New AUDUSD Analysis Videos covering AUDUSD weekly and daily charts.

Continued in the members area
—————————

June 13, 2010   No Comments

GBPUSD POTENTIAL 300+ point move 16.04.2010

I am looking for the GBP to decline against the dollar as of the 16th April 2010. On the hour chart we have a couple of clues that the market may well be reversing from the 1.5524 level which has seen a lower low and a lower high put in. I have made a video update to show you what I am looking at.

April 16, 2010   No Comments

FOREX PATTERN TRADING Can The Markets Be Anticipated?

Many people believe that the financial markets are totally random. The random walk hypothesis is a financial theory that states the price of a market cannot be predicted. Economists have historically accepted the random walk hypothesis. Professor Burton G. Malkiel, of Princeton University was the first person to propose this idea.

Yet many people can make a living trading the financial markets, making money time and time again. So it often makes me wonder, if the markets were random how can they do that.

Have you ever wondered how they were doing it?

2
Notice The Regular Spacing In Red…

I’m Mike Haran and I’m a full time trader, and I believe that the financial markets are certainly not completely random and can move with the precision of a swiss watch. The markets may appear to be random, in fact they obey the laws of chaos, I have seen markets go into fribulation before they collapse, just like a human heart, the frequency doubles then the market collapses. The markets even appear to repeat moves in time with an amazing regularity.

If you can find the correct swing in time lets call it the master swing it is possible to predict the next swing in the market with amazing accuracy. Not only that but that swing length will repeat all the way through the wave structure. Sometimes running from high to high, high to low or low to high. The thing that makes the market difficult to trade is the knowing where the next swing will be projected from.

4
Some People Might Say That I’m Cherry Picking…

NON RANDOM MARKET BEHAVIOUR

The non random nature of the market is very well illustrated in this example of the GBPUSD on the daily chart. On the 7.1.2010 the GBPUSD made a low, this was then followed by a second low on the 22.1.2010. This distance in time was then copied and projected from either a low or high as this wave continued to decline.

You can see that each projection points has resulted in a short term reaction against the trend in each case. Using this time cycle it is possible to estimate where the next reversal in the GBPUSD should occur, the proposed dates would appear to be the 1st April 2010 or the 7th April 2010.

The cyclic nature of the markets and reoccurring repeating patterns would seem to indicate that far from being random, the markets do seem to behave in a structured way. This structure is then disturbed by seemingly chaotic activity where the markets will suddenly fracture and move rapidly in another direction seemingly at random. The markets are thought to be a non linear dynamic system composed of a trend component and highly random price element. However, in these random move repetitive patterns form which appear to offer a predictive analysis of future price movement. This is often referred to as pattern trading.

By Mike Haran

http://www.haranfx.com


Related Blogs

March 30, 2010   3 Comments

USDJPY Technical Analysis Potential 400 Point Top Position 25 March 2010

March 25, 2010   No Comments

DOW JONES POTENTIAL Big Move

Here is bonus for the members.

DJIA again I am seeing a sign of weakness at the top of the DJIA, pin candle formation. On the 10.3.2010 I have an equal time AB=CD pattern, so far we have failed to reach an AB=CD in price. This implys that the last leg up is weak…

Continued in the members area
—————————

March 10, 2010   No Comments

AUDUSD GBPUSD Results of 3 Predictions

Prediction – AUDUSD Potential Higher Push Prediction From 16/02/2010

www.haranfx.com AUDUSD potential push higher Results

See original post here

Prediction – GBPUSD POSS TURN 5-8 Feb 2010
www.haranfx.com GBPUSD POSS TURN 5-8 Feb 2010 Results

See original post here

See interim update post here

Prediction – TECHNICAL ANALYSIS GBPUSD Xmas Reversal from 24th December 2009

www.haranfx.com GBPUSD Potential Xmas Reversal Results

See original post here

Recent Results Speak of Themselves!

I just wanted to update you on how my predictions have been going on the GBP, which is one of the currencies I trade.
If you had taken some of my predictions on the GBPUSD you would have made around 800 points with only three trades since Christmas.

If you traded the DOW you would have netted about 880 points on that move alone. So what about the future, how will you improve your trading in the future. If you are serious and really want to be able to make money trading you have to know when to buy at the bottom and sell at the tops.

Money is made in trading by getting in at the tops or bottoms or as close as you can and selling or buying. You don’t always have to get in at the very top or bottom, you can always wait for you analysis to allow show you where these positions are then look for a retrace back to your predicted level.

If you don’t have a way to do that then, how will you make money in trading? Many traders that have seen what I do are amazed, no one showed them such radical ways to trade. What I learned I did the hard way, in fact I threw most of my books on trading away, because they simply do not work.

80% of people that lose trading do so because what they are doing is simply wrong, that and the fact that some brokers will allow you to open accounts with $25. You might as well write the broker a check and save yourself the frustration of bothering to trade. You will lose that money 100% sure on that.

Many of the people that I discuss trading with make all the mistake I made. Good traders are not born they are made. The ability to trade like I do can be learned, it’s not magic. One of the reasons I made my course on trading was to help out a friend who kept asking me to teach him. When I started my blog, other people saw that I was not some pretender making calls on a market that had already moved. I was making all my calls before the moves happened and I was confident enough to make those calls public.

Success in life, is earned through hard work. no matter what the advertising says, no one can trade from day one and become a successful trader. All the traders I know that are any good, have blown at least three accounts. Some of these accounts have been in excess of six figures.

Knowledge is the key to trading, you can walk the path yourself or you can follow in someones footsteps. knowing what I know now, I would rather have a guide then tread the path alone.

All the best

Mike


Related Blogs

February 24, 2010   1 Comment

AUDUSD Potential Higher Push

www.haranfx.com AUDUSD potential push higher

This is currently sitting on an AB=CD at 100%, now there is the chance it will make a push higher, we are also sitting at the 0.9000 which is a significant level due to the fact that people often target triple zeros. I am scaling in on this trade, if we have not seen a decline by 10pm then I would consider waiting for the next level.

February 16, 2010   1 Comment

GBPUSD Analysis Taking Partial Profits

Recently I have noticed that my target levels are being exceeded by relatively small amounts, around 30 pips or so. This is very frustrating for me and I am sure that many of you might also be getting stopped out. Therefore I decided to give you a small technique that may or may not already be obvious to you.

Usually when a level reacts as in the case of the GBPUSD, the move almost always gives a relatively small profit of 70-90 points. I would advise that those of you trading my analysis lock in 70-90 points on the first reaction – there is usually always the opportunity to place your stop at break even at some point in the trade.

News

For those of you that want to use a more effective method of trading, I would like recommend my forthcoming ebook “Precision Trading”. In my book I will show you how to run a trade and also how to extract money from your tradea even when you only get a relatively small move.

Please lookout for more details regarding the launch of Precision Trading on the blog if you are interested.

January 18, 2010   1 Comment

GBPUSD TECHICAL ANALYSIS potentially turning 14th/15th January

Hi All,

Hope that you have all had a nice Xmas and New Year and that you have not put on too many pounds of the non cash variety. Sorry that I have not made too many updates lately.

haranfx.com gbpusd potentially turning

The GBPUSD has a potential turn in time for either today or tommorrow. As of this moment there is a perfect abcd formation on the daily. There is also a .78% fib ratio of the last swing, sometimes these ratios work together to provide additional resistance. I also have a saw wave pattern on the lower time frame chart hitting a good ratio of 2.618 so there is a high probability that this is the top. I have sold at 1.62985 stop at 1.63345

Happy Trading!

January 13, 2010   3 Comments

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS GBPUSD Xmas Reversal

GBPUSD potential reversal in time 24th Dec price level 1.59300 hit. Entry with a 30 point stop, next turn 3.1.2010 possible 400 pointer+

www.haranfx.com GBPUSD Potential Xmas Reversal

Have a very Happy Xmas and an even better New Year All!!!

December 24, 2009   2 Comments